Ultra-processed foods lead to chronic diseases? Bread, breakfast cereals, yogurt and dairy desserts are all associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular disease and diabetes

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[G]iven the prevailing sense of certainty that ultraprocessed foods are a prime culprit in chronic disease, it may surprise you that there is little research-based evidence to back this up — and what evidence there is isn’t exactly robust.

That’s because almost all the evidence comes from observational studies, which can only find associations between two things — they can’t establish cause and effect. …

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[A] 2024 review involving almost 10 million people found … the only association with convincing, moderate-quality evidence was between ultraprocessed food and Type 2 diabetes risk. The rest of the evidence was low or very low quality.

Recent analyses of data from the Nurses’ Health Study and Health Professional Follow-Up Study found that higher ultraprocessed food intake was associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease and Type 2 diabetes risk in U.S. adults. However, intake of certain ultraprocessed foods — including bread, breakfast cereals, sweetened yogurt, dairy desserts and savory snacks — was associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular disease and diabetes. …

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