Is the global food supply collapsing as temperatures gradually increase? Just the opposite, as world is on track for record harvests

It’s not uncommon for people to tell me that global food production is already collapsing due to climate change. They are then surprised to hear that we typically hit record harvests year after year (even as things get hotter).

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Corn (maize) and wheat, in particular, have seen large increases this year. Soybeans are also expected to see a record. For rice, the rise is very small — basically the same output as last year (which was also a record).

It’s also important to look at crop yields. Producing more food from higher yields means using less land for farming (and the benefits that come with it), and it also means better returns for farmers.

Corn, wheat, soybeans, and rice are all expected to see record yields this year.

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Again, these are current projections to the end of the year, and subject to change. But the current data points towards strong agricultural output this year.

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