Cloudy with a chance of AI? How weather forecasters are more accurately predicting tropical storms

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In May, Microsoft released a forecast tool called Aurora that produces five-day global air- pollution predictions and 10-day weather forecasts 5,000 times faster than existing models.

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“All those AI tools do is recognize patterns,” says Paris Perdikaris, a principal researcher on the Aurora project at Microsoft Research. “And they’re really good at doing that.”

Researchers trained Aurora with a huge amount of historical weather data so it could make those predictions, about 16 times more data than the amount used to train the latest version of the AI-powered chatbot ChatGPT, according to Perdikaris.

Microsoft expects to make Aurora publicly available in coming months to allow more people, including researchers at weather-forecasting agencies, to give it a test drive.

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